Trump is still projected to receive about 44% of the popular vote on November 8, but his party has picked up steam in some key “swing” states. The GOP have climbed from +200 to +170 in both Iowa and North Carolina over the past two weeks, while Utah has vaulted from –300 to –700 to vote Republican. Meanwhile, Trump remains a +200 underdog to take Florida and Nevada, and the Republicans have slipped from +200 to +250 in Ohio. Clinton and the Dems are favored in 17 of the 22 states available on the futures market.
This has been a relatively quiet period for both parties, especially the Democrats, but business should pick up again on September 26 with the first of five scheduled debates – four between Clinton and Trump, and another between vice-presidential candidates Tim Kaine and Mike Pence.
Politics Odds: Democrats Still Poised to Win Presidency
Hillary Clinton and the Democratic Party have slipped a bit in the polls, but they're still exactly where they were four weeks ago, favored at –325 to win the 2016 US presidential election. Donald Trump and the Republican Party trail at +250.
In a relatively quiet news cycle, Trump has managed to gain ground in Iowa (+170) and North Carolina (+170), both important “swing” states, but he's also falling behind in Ohio (+250). Overall, the Dems are favored in 17 of the 22 states on the futures market at press time, including Florida (–300) and Nevada (–350).