The football odds are in Florida State's favor. The Seminoles are 7.5-point home favorites at press time for Saturday's game (8 PM ET, ABC), up from –6.5 at the open, and they've owned this rivalry since Jimbo Fisher took over as FSU's head coach in 2010, going 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS. The Gators have also failed to cover each of their last six non-conference games.
While the Florida Gators are ahead in the FBS standings and the CFP rankings, the analytics point to the Seminoles as the stronger team. The difference is especially pronounced on offense; FSU rank 19th overall at 6.54 yards per play, while the Gators are No. 84 at 5.47 yards. The under is 7-3 for Florida this year and 13-3 in their last 16 games against Florida State.
NCAAF Odds: Gators, Seminoles Getting Ready for Rivalry WeekThe No. 15 Florida State Seminoles (8-3 SU, 6-4 ATS) host the No. 13 Florida Gators (8-2 SU, 4-5-1 ATS) this Saturday, kicking off at 8 PM ET on ABC, but it hasn't been much of a rivalry in recent years. The Seminoles are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS against Florida since Jimbo Fisher became head coach in 2010.
The 'Noles also have the better analytics in this matchup, even though the Gators (+7.5 at press time) can still reach the College Football Playoff by beating FSU and upsetting the No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide for the SEC title.