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Wednesday, November 23, 2016

NCAAF : Gators-Seminoles in Florida Cup Classic

It's always interesting when the Florida Gators and the Florida State Seminoles match up for Rivalry Week, but it's even better when the stakes are high. The No. 13 Gators (8-2 SU, 4-5-1 ATS) can still make the College Football Playoff, while the No. 15 Seminoles (8-3 SU, 6-4 ATS) are in the running for a high-end bowl game, like the Sun Bowl on December 30 in El Paso.

The football odds are in Florida State's favor. The Seminoles are 7.5-point home favorites at press time for Saturday's game (8 PM ET, ABC), up from –6.5 at the open, and they've owned this rivalry since Jimbo Fisher took over as FSU's head coach in 2010, going 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS. The Gators have also failed to cover each of their last six non-conference games.

While the Florida Gators are ahead in the FBS standings and the CFP rankings, the analytics point to the Seminoles as the stronger team. The difference is especially pronounced on offense; FSU rank 19th overall at 6.54 yards per play, while the Gators are No. 84 at 5.47 yards. The under is 7-3 for Florida this year and 13-3 in their last 16 games against Florida State.

NCAAF : Gators-Seminoles in Florida Cup Classic

Euro 2016 - Live odds and lines

NCAAF Odds: Gators, Seminoles Getting Ready for Rivalry Week

The No. 15 Florida State Seminoles (8-3 SU, 6-4 ATS) host the No. 13 Florida Gators (8-2 SU, 4-5-1 ATS) this Saturday, kicking off at 8 PM ET on ABC, but it hasn't been much of a rivalry in recent years. The Seminoles are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS against Florida since Jimbo Fisher became head coach in 2010.

The 'Noles also have the better analytics in this matchup, even though the Gators (+7.5 at press time) can still reach the College Football Playoff by beating FSU and upsetting the No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide for the SEC title.

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