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Tuesday, October 3, 2017

MLB Odds: Twins-Yankees in AL Wild Card Game

The New York Yankees (91-71, –1.00 betting units) aren’t your garden-variety Wild Card team. The Yankees are one of the very best teams in baseball, and they’re healthy –235 favourites to beat the Minnesota Twins (85-77, +11.48 units) in Tuesday night’s AL Wild Card Game. ESPN has the coverage starting at 8 PM ET.

New York finished the regular season with a run differential of plus-198, second only to Cleveland’s plus-254 in the majors. Blessed with incredible talent in all facets of the game, the Yankees will send ace Luis Severino (3.07 FIP) to the mound on Tuesday. Severino has New York up 4.95 units this year on a team record of 20-11, with the Over also checking in at 20-11.

The Twins squeaked into the second AL Wild Card spot with a run differential of plus-27. That’s the lowest of any playoff team this year. Minnesota has Top-10 hitting and mediocre-to-poor pitching, and they’ll be going with nominal No. 1 starter Ervin Santana (4.46 FIP) for this matchup. Santana has earned 4.07 units for Twins supporters on a record of 19-14; the Under is 19-12-2 in his 33 starts, thanks in part to a forgivingly low .245 BABIP.

Live odds and lines

MLB Odds: Yankees Favored in AL Wild Card Game

After a strong regular season, the New York Yankees (91-71, –1.00 betting units) opened as –235 home favourites for Tuesday’s AL Wild Card Game against the Minnesota Twins (85-77, +11.48 units). First pitch is at 8 PM ET on ESPN.

Luis Severino (3.07 FIP) is projected to take the mound for the Yankees opposite Ervin Santana (4.46 FIP) in a battle of No. 1 starters. New York has won 13 of Severino’s last 15 starts; the Twins are 9-8 in their last 17 games behind Santana, including a 2-1 loss to the Yankees (–158 at home) on September 18.

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